AUTOMATED STRATEGY

Trend following · BTC core (spot + perpetual)

Long-only BTC daily trend strategy, 0-2x.

Trend following

TradesBitcoin (BTC)

2026-10-05 13:49:47 UTC
RESEARCH BACKTEST CAGR37.6%
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN31.6%
STUDY PERIOD

2020-05-13 – 2026-10-05

Backtest · Platform backtest

Backtest period returns

WindowCumulative returnCAGRMax drawdownClosed tradesTrade win rateAverage holding timeDates / days
Full periodAwaiting approved backtest data
Start through 2022Awaiting approved backtest data
2023–2025Awaiting approved backtest data
2026 through cutoffAwaiting approved backtest data

Counts use trades closed in this window; win rate uses profit after fees and funding. Average holding time includes closed trades only.

Returns since activation · simulated funds

Current run starts: 2026-10-03

Cumulative return-0.10%
Observed days0.28

2026-10-03 → 2026-10-04 · UTC · Under 30 days: CAGR is not displayed

This run uses simulated funds; fills and liquidity can differ from real trading.

Previous-close allocation

2026-10-04 · UTC

AssetMarketSideShare of equity
BTCSpotLong58.6%

Each item is relative to simulated strategy equity. Contract exposure may exceed 100%; this is not a portfolio to copy directly.

How the strategy participates

Several trend signals vote and the size follows volatility; up to 1x in spot, the rest in the perpetual. Rebalanced daily at 00:05 UTC.

Compare returns from different starting points.

The 2023-onward curve is a slice of the same backtest, carrying over its exposure and risk state. Each curve is rebased to 100 at its own starting point.

Full-period backtest Platform backtest

2020-05-13 – 2026-10-05
CAGR37.6%
Max drawdown31.6%
Cumulative return669.4%
Closed trades43
Average holding time46.88 days

Same-period buy-and-hold benchmark · CAGR 42.9% / MDD 76.6%

NORMALIZED EQUITY · START 100

2026-10-05 · Equity 769.44

90899
2020-05-132026-10-05

The chart uses display samples. Returns and drawdowns come from the same-period source summary, not a recalculation from sparse points.

Costs, assumptions & engine differences

Framework backtest: the same process and risk controls as live trading, taker fees, slippage estimated from the liquidity at the time, perpetual funding as paid, liquidations simulated on 1-hour mark prices. The curve starts at 100; whole period.

Backtest from 2023 Platform backtest

2023-01-01 – 2026-10-05
CAGR34.2%
Max drawdown30.0%
Cumulative return202.2%
Closed trades15
Average holding time80.13 days

Same-period buy-and-hold benchmark · CAGR 55.2% / MDD 53.0%

NORMALIZED EQUITY · START 100

2026-10-05 · Equity 302.23

348100
2023-01-012026-10-05

The chart uses display samples. Returns and drawdowns come from the same-period source summary, not a recalculation from sparse points.

Costs, assumptions & engine differences

Framework backtest: the same process and risk controls as live trading, taker fees, slippage estimated from the liquidity at the time, perpetual funding as paid, liquidations simulated on 1-hour mark prices. The curve starts at 100; from 2023.

Read these limits before choosing the return.

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